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significant amplifying role for market uncertainty in the relation between sentiment and aggregate investment. A one …-standard-deviation increase in uncertainty more than doubles the effect of sentiment on investment. Moreover, allowing uncertainty …The effects of sentiment should be strongest during times of heightened valuation uncertainty. As such, we document a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350126
This study investigates the short- and long-term effects of various sources of uncertainty on the share prices of key … other relevant approaches to time series. Economic policy, climate policy, pandemics, and Twitter-based uncertainty may … China, geopolitical, climatic, and pandemic uncertainty are short-term sources of uncertainty, and in India, economic policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014330079
Many commentators argue that uncertainty about tax, spending, monetary and regulatory policy slowed the recovery from … the 2007-2009 recession. To investigate this we develop a new index of economic policy uncertainty (EPU), built on three … components: the frequency of newspaper references to economic policy uncertainty, the number of federal tax code provisions set …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064762
We propose an extension of the class of rational expectations bubbles (REBs) to the more general rational beliefs setting of Kurz (1994a,b). In a potentially non-stationary but stationarizable environment, among an heterogenous population of agents, it is possible to hold more than one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181099
We propose an extension of the class of rational expectations bubbles (REBs) to the more general rational beliefs setting of Kurz (1994a,b). In a potentially non-stationary but stationarizable environment, it is possible to hold more than one (small-r) “rational” expectation. When rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919580
Can stock price movements be traced back partially to interpersonal utility effects? That is, are shareholders also chasing nonfinancial goals apart from generating profit under risk that can be ascribed neither to findings of behavioral finance nor to traditional economical theories? Inspired...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021105
We explore the relation between limit order price clustering and price efficiency. We find that executed sell limit orders cluster more frequently on round increments than buy limit orders and that this asymmetry in clustering is consistent with the well documented asymmetry in price response to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021727
, a much stronger impact on stock market prices comes from the pre-IPO news tone. Interestingly, the more uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046950
In assessing drivers of commodity prices and volatility at this stage of the current super-cycle in commodities (year 12 of a projected 25), it is vital to understand that production cost is a fundamental. Moreover, marginal production costs are among the most powerful drivers of commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120803
We show in a simple framework that momentum trading can exist in equilibrium and momentum trading is profitable. Properties of the model fit the empirics well. First, the model captures in a parsimonious manner both short-term overreaction and long-term reversals. Second, it predicts that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089438