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ambiguity aversion. This characterization extends to regret-based models as well. As an application of our general result, we … characterize dynamically consistent updating for two important models of ambiguity averse preferences: the ambiguity averse smooth … ambiguity preferences (Klibanoþ, Marinacci and Mukerji [Econometrica 73 2005, pp. 1849-1892]) and the variational preferences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266275
In this paper, we consider a decision-maker who tries to learn the distribution of outcomes from previously observed cases. For each observed database of cases the decision-maker predicts a set of priors expressing his beliefs about the underlying probability distribution. We impose a version of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270218
A game-theoretic framework that allows for explicitly randomized strategies is used to study the e ect of ambiguity … predictions of two player games with ambiguity averse and with ambiguity neutral players are observationally equivalent. This … beliefs to the context of ambiguity aversion yields substantially di erent predictions even for the case with just two players. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270432
We develop a theory of optimal stopping problems under ambiguity in continuous time. Using results from (backward … from the agent's ambiguity aversion. We show how to use these general results for search problems and American Options. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272549
In this paper we give an alternative characterization for time-consistent sets of measures in a discrete setting. For each measure P in a time-consistent set Ρ we get a distinct set of predictable processes which in return decribe the P uniquely. This implies we get a one-to-one correspondence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272594
We study a dynamic and infinite-dimensional model with Knightian uncertainty modeled by incomplete multiple prior preferences. In interior efficient allocations, agents share a common risk-adjusted prior and use the same subjective interest rate. Interior efficient allocations and equilibria...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272617
We consider optimal stopping problems for ambiguity averse decision makers with multiple priors. In general, backward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272620
We examine the impact of ambiguity on economic behaviour. We present a relatively non-technical account of ambiguity … and show how it may be applied in economics. Optimistic and pessimistic responses to ambiguity are formally modelled. We … also examine the effects of ambiguity on peace processes. It is shown that ambiguity can act to select equilibria in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274362
differences lies in the dichotomy between first-order and second-order ambiguity aversion which I define here. My definition and …-order ambiguity aversion a positive exposure to ambiguity is optimal if and only if there is a subjective belief such that the act …´s expected outcome is positive. With first-order ambiguity aversion, zero exposure to ambiguity can be optimal. Examples in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419378
In this paper we consider the effect of ambiguity on the private provision of public goods. Equilibrium is shown to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422127