Showing 1 - 10 of 24
inflation and is shown to be Granger-causal for euro area inflation in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise. In part, this … contrast, the influence of Japanese and euro area excess liquidity on euro area inflation is more limited. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299143
money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299146
power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …We use a mean-adjusted Bayesian VAR model as an out-of-sample forecasting tool to test whether money growth Granger …-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299140
We use Bayesian estimation techniques to investigate whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the United States … including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation does systematically improve out-of-sample forecasting accuracy. This …. However, the contribution of money to inflation forecasting accuracy is quantitatively limited and tends to be smaller in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299139
power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …We use a mean-adjusted Bayesian VAR model as an out-of-sample forecasting tool to test whether money growth Granger …-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321554
Monetary aggregates continue to play an important role in the ECB's policy strategy. This paper revisits the case for money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exclusive focus on non-monetary factors alone may leave the ECB with an incomplete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299145
We assess the bivariate relation between money growth and inflation in the euro area and the United States using hybrid … statistically unstable across time in both regions. The effect that shocks to money growth has on inflation weakened notably after … monetary aggregates to inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014331161
-shaped relation between the membership size of MPCs and inflation; our results suggest that the lowest level of inflation is reached … at MPCs with about seven to ten members. Similar results are obtained for other measures, such as inflation variability … and output growth. We also find that MPC size influences the success of monetary targeting regimes. In contrast, there is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264342
-shaped relation between the membership size of MPCs and inflation; our results suggest that the lowest level of inflation is reached … at MPCs with about seven to ten members. Similar results are obtained for other measures, such as inflation variability … and output growth. We also find that MPC size influences the success of monetary targeting regimes. In contrast, there is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277737
Monetary policy in the euro area is conducted within a multi-country, multicultural, and multi-lingual context involving multiple central banking traditions. How does this heterogeneity affect the ability of economic agents to understand and to anticipate monetary policy by the ECB? Using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604624