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The traditional view of the monetary transmission mechanism rests on the premise that the Federal Reserve (Fed) controls the level of the Federal funds rate via open market operations and the liquidity effect. By contrast, this paper argues that the Fed also manipulates the Federal funds rate...
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Overnight indexed swap (OIS) rates are regularly used to measure interest rate expectations. But how suitable are they? What tenors can we rely on? Assessing their performance in the US, UK, Eurozone and Japan, I find they provide broadly reliable measures of rate expectations out to around the...
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has been on tests of the “expectations theory.” According to the theory, changes in the slope of the yield curve should … slope of the current yield curve. The expectations theory suggests that variation in the slope of the yield curve should be … prediction of the theory is supported by the data. A surprising finding is that parts of the yield curve have been useful in …
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