Bisherige Studien zur Performance von Investmentfonds kommen zu dem Schluss, dass Anleger durch eine Investition in aktiv verwaltete Fonds nicht mehr (sondern tendenziell weniger) als durch eine passive Anlage in die Benchmark verdienen. Selbst eine Investition in die Fonds mit den in der...

This paper analyzes the performance of portfolio strategies that invest in noload, open-end U.S. domestic equity mutual funds, incorporating predictability in (i) manager skills, (ii) fund risk-loadings, and (iii) benchmark returns. Predictability in manager skills is found to be the dominant...

We develop a structural model where joint dynamics of aggregate consumption and asset-specific dividends are governed by correlated state-variables. The correlation structure implies distinct cross-sectional exposures of dividends to long history of consumption growth rates, resulting in...

We study whether stocks are riskier or safer in the long run from the perspective of Bayesian investors who employ the long-run risk, habit formation, or prospect theory models to form prior beliefs about return dynamics. Economic theory delivers important guidance for long-run investment...