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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003945196
The Romanian Journal of European Studies No.4/2005 ISSN 1583 - 199X EUV - Editura Universitatii de Vest, Timisoara, 2005 The British Coucil in Bucharest and The School of High Comparative European Studies (SISEC), within the West University of Timisoara, edited The Romanian Journal of European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015217363
Using granular customs data, we construct a counterfactual of the evolution of Swiss goods exports under the premise that the minimum exchange rate policy would have been continued. We study the dynamic adjustment of aggregate and sectoral goods exports due to the exchange rate shock in January...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448687
The outcome of the referendum on the UK's membership of the European Union in June 2016 was largely unanticipated by politicians and pundits alike. Even after the "Leave" vote, the uncertainty surrounding the withdrawal process might have affected the UK economy. We draw on an official list of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278329
We examine structural differences in growth vulnerabilities across countries associated with financial risk indicators. Considering trade openness, financial sector size, the public spending ratio and government effectiveness, our findings suggest the existence of a structural gap and a risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014319988
According to the expectations channel, a fiscal consolidation may give rise to less contractionary, or even expansionary effects on consumption, despite a decline in current disposable income. Intuitively, people may accumulate a stock of savings in anticipation of the consolidation and may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382733
We examine the transmission of global macro-financial uncertainty to economic activity depending on the current state of the banking sector. Previous literature suggests that credit supply and uncertainty shocks are important drivers of economic activity, but the distinction between the two is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101208
We study the effects of macroeconomic shocks on several measures of economic inequality obtained from U.S. survey data. To identify aggregate supply, aggregate demand, and monetary policy shocks, we estimate structural vector autoregressions and impose sign and zero restrictions on impulse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012140877
We investigate how oil supply shocks are transmitted to U.S. economic activity, consumer prices, and interest rates. Using a structural VAR approach with a combination of sign and zero restrictions, we distinguish between supply and demand channels in the transmission of exogenous changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012140936
We study the revision of macroeconomic expectations due to aggregate demand, aggregate supply and monetary policy shocks. Using zero and sign restrictions, the macroeconomic shocks are identified in a vector autoregressive model in which we include survey data that measure macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011527874