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serves as a substitute for commitment, enabling the central bank to achieve the efficient Ramsey equilibrium and avoid the … inefficient, time-inconsistent one-shot Nash equilibrium. We find that reputation is a poor substitute for commitment. We then … that these mechanisms have only small or transitory effects on welfare. Surprisingly, the real effects of supply shocks are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011572114
modes of optimization, termed commitment and discretion. I estimate the model separately under each policy using maximum … commitment model but a more balanced concern relative to inflation and output stability in the discretionary model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005078933
multiple equilibria under pure discretion, and under full commitment there are two distinct determinate regimes. We study how … these properties change over the continuum of intermediate cases between commitment and discretion. We find that although …We study the existence and uniqueness properties of monetary policy with limited commitment in LQ RE models. We use a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008852486
Despite a number of helpful changes, including the adoption of an inflation target, the Fed's monetary policy strategy proved insufficiently resilient in recent years. While the Fed eased policy appropriately during the pandemic, it fell behind the curve during the post-pandemic recovery. During...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014483910
periodic reviews and adaptation. Replacing meeting-by-meeting discretion with a simple policy rule would eschew discretion in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327320
A common finding in the literature is that forward guidance cannot be credible under discretionary policy as long as the zero lower bound is an one-off event. However, this is not the case when recurring episodes of zero interest rates are possible. In this paper, we contribute to this new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208390
demonstrate that inflation-conservatism unambiguously leads to social welfare losses if the fiscal authority acts strategically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008852470
periodic reviews and adaptation. Replacing meeting-by-meeting discretion with a simple policy rule would eschew discretion in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327424
A common finding in the literature is that forward guidance cannot be credible under discretionary policy as long as the zero lower bound is an one-off event. However, this is not the case when recurring episodes of zero interest rates are possible. In this paper, we contribute to this new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012153467
, deficit and monetary rules, both in effectiveness at curbing public spending and welfare for private agents. However … shocks, the optimal ceiling on U.S. federal revenue is about 15% of GDP, which leads to welfare gains for private agents …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137093