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This paper proposes a test for detecting out-of-sample structural change in factor-augmented regression (FAR) models, as a complement to the in-sample structural stability tests developed in recent literature. In a set-up with a large number, N, of time series whereby each has some predictive...
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The "home bias" phenomenon states that empirically, economic agents often under-utilize opportunities beyond their country borders, and it is well-documented in various international pricing and purchase patterns. This bias manifests in the forms of fewer exchanges of goods and net...
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This paper presents a generalized autoregressive distributed lag (GADL) model for conducting regression estimations that involve mixed-frequency data. As an example, we show that daily asset market information - currency and equity market movements - can produce forecasts of quarterly commodity...
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