This paper develops a frequentist model averaging approach for threshold model specifications. The resulting estimator is proved to be asymptotically optimal in the sense of achieving the lowest possible squared errors. In particular, when com-bining estimators from threshold autoregressive...

This note is in response to a recent paper by Hansen (2007, Econometrica) who proposed an optimal model average estimator with weights selected by minimizing a Mallows criterion. The main contribution of Hansen's paper is a demonstration that the Mallows criterion is asymptotically equivalent to...

This note is in response to a recent paper by Hansen (2007, Econometrica) who proposed an optimal model average estimator with weights selected by minimizing a Mallows criterion. The main contribution of Hansen's paper is a demonstration that the Mallows criterion is asymptotically equivalent to...