How can a systemic risk early warning system (EWS) facilitate the financial stability work of policymakers? In the context of evolving financial market dynamics and limitations of microprudential policy, this study examines new directions for financial macroprudential policy. A flexible...

How can a systemic risk early warning system (EWS) facilitate the financial stability work of policymakers? In the context of evolving financial market dynamics and limitations of microprudential policy, this study examines new directions for financial macroprudential policy. A flexible...

The world economy is currently going through a serious financial upheaval that sparked off in the United States and has spread to Europe and the rest of the world, including Egypt. The severity of the crisis and ongoing uncertainties demonstrate the need for urgent action to restore worldwide...

Timely identification of coincident systemic conditions and forward-looking capacity to anticipate adverse developments are critical for macroprudential policy. Despite clear recognition of these factors in literature, an evaluation methodology and empirical tests for the information value of...

After the great turmoil of the latest financial crisis, the criticism of the regulatory frameworks became increasingly stronger. The rules that banks needed to comply with are presumed to be procyclical and unable to prevent and mitigate the extent of strong financial and economic cycles. As a...

During the last decade, property prices in Germany steadily appreciated and reached an all-time high in 2022. In the wake of the global financial crisis that was triggered by a housing market bubble in the U.S., banking authorities introduced an additional systemic risk buffer. This buffer aims...

This paper examines how monetary and macroprudential policies interact and possibly complement each other in achieving their respective price and financial stability objectives. We first review the Canadian experience of housing market cycles and highlight the need to coordinate the two sets of...

While not being widespread, stress tests of credit risk are not new in the Argentine financial system, neither for financial intermediaries nor for the Central Bank. However, they are more often based on rule-of-thumb approaches than on systematic, model based methodologies. The objective of...

As shown in the recent BCBS papers market and credit risks could reinforce each other in certain circumstances, meaning the sum of the parts might be less than an estimate of risk that takes into account the interactions between the two. Market risk factors have an ambiguous impact on the firms'...

The current crisis causes numerous economic uncertainties, such as a break-up of the European currency union, and a Greek exit from the euro area to boost the competitiveness by means of devaluation of national currency. When a factor such as exchange rate is expected to have a significant...