endogenously influence whether learning occurs through its policy choices (policy experimentation), future political competition … unilaterally, but faces competition from a political opponent in the future. Both parties care about voters payoffs, but they have … different beliefs about how policy choices will map into future economic outcomes. We show that when the incumbent party can …

Using belief elicitation, the paper investigates the formation and the evolution of beliefs in a signalling game in … which a common prior on Sender's type is not induced. Beliefs are elicited about the type of the Sender and about the … strategies of the players. The experimental subjects often start with diffuse uniform beliefs and update them in view of …

endogenously influence whether learning occurs through its policy choices (policy experimentation), future political competition … unilaterally, but faces competition from a political opponent in the future. Both parties care about voters payoffs, but they have … different beliefs about how policy choices will map into future economic outcomes. We show that when the incumbent party can …

We study how subjects in an experiment use different forms of public information about their opponents' past behavior …

This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean …-Michel Grandmont. In particular, my work on consistent expectations and behavioral learning equilibria may be seen as formalizations of … JMG's ideas of self-fulfilling mistakes. Some of our learning-to-forecast laboratory experiments with human subjects have …

the prevalence of their own values and preferences when forming beliefs about others' values and preferences, depends on … the salience of own preferences. We manipulate salience by varying the order of elicitation of preferences and beliefs …