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In this article we examine the properties of estimates of realized volatility at various intra-daily sampling frequencies for Brent Crude oil futures traded at the IntercontinentalExchange (ICE). The estimates of realized volatility are subsequently modeled and forecasted to predict day-ahead...
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This paper investigates the forward premium of futures contracts in the Nordic power market for the time period from January 2004 to December 2013. We find that futures prices are biased predictors of the subsequent spot prices and that there is a significant forward premium in the Nord Pool...
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This study investigates whether weekly futures prices, covering the time period 1996-2013, are unbiased predictors of future spot price in the Nordic power market. The results give no clear evidence of bias in the futures prices, except for during the winter period from 2003-2009. In this period...
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In this paper we study implied and realized volatility for the Nordic power forward market. We create an implied volatility index with a fixed time to maturity. This index is compared to a realized volatility time series calculated from high-frequency data. The results show that the implied...
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