In this study, we address a demanding time series forecasting problem that deals simultaneously with the following: (1) intermittent time series, (2) multi-step ahead forecasting, (3) time series with multiple seasonal periods, and (4) performance measures for model selection across multiple...

We argue that the complex interactions of competitive heterogeneous firms lead to a statistical equilibrium distribution of firms? profit rates, which turns out to be an exponential power (or Subbotin) distribution. Moreover, we construct a diffusion process that has the Subbotin distribution as...

Properties of a specification test for the parametric form of the variance function in diffusion processes dXt = b (t,Xt) dt + sigma (t,Xt) dWt are discussed. The test is based on the estimation of certain integrals of the volatility function. If the volatility function does not depend on the...

Our paper analyzes the interplay of organizational demography with the propensity to adopt an innovative practice. In particular, we examine how the demographical composition of professional German football teams influenced the adoption of the chain-defense-system (?Viererkette?) as well as the...

This paper considers ML estimation of a diffusion process observed discretely. Since the exact loglikelihood is generally not available, it must be approximated. We review the most effcient approaches in the literature, and point to some drawbacks. We propose to approximate the loglikelihood...

There has recently been growing interest in modeling and estimating alternative continuous time multivariate stochastic volatility models. We propose a continuous timefractionally integrated Wishart stochastic volatility (FIWSV) process. We derive the conditional Laplace transform of the FIWSV...

The basic philosophy behind Gibrat's rule of proportionate effect has been to find some common mechanism in the growth process of business firms, based on the idea that growth rates are independent of size and drawn from the same distribution. After decades of research, however, it seems fair to...

This paper presents an empirical analysis of the distributional and dynamic properties of firm profit rates, measured by returns on assets, using panel data on 1095 long-lived Japanese (non-financial) listed firms over the 1971-2012 period. In particular, this paper tests the validity of...

The aim of this article is to show a simple way to construct asymptotic minimax lower bounds for risks based on different types of quadratic loss functions in semiparametric inference problems. For the sake of clarity, we consider the simple case of the state estimation of a dynamical system...

This paper provides a construction of a Fleming-Viot measure valued diffusion process, for which the transition function is known, by extending recent ideas of Gibbs sampler based Markov processes. In particular, we concentrate on the Chapman-Kolmogorov consistency conditions which allows a...