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We advance the proposal that DSGE models should not just be estimated and evaluated with reference to full information methods. These make strong assumptions and therefore there is uncertainty about their impact upon results. Some limited information analysis which can be used in a complementary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635668
In this paper we review the evolution of macroeconomic modelling in a policy environment that took place over the past sixty years. We identify and characterise four generations of macro models. Particular attention is paid to the fourth generation -- dynamic stochastic general equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008489267
The paper looks at the development of macroeconometric models over the past sixty years. In particular those that have been used for analysing policy options. We argue that there have been four generations of these. Each generation has evolved new features that have been partly drawn from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008469595
In this paper we review the evolution of macroeconomic modelling in a policy environment that took place over the past sixty years. We identify and characterize four generations of macro models. Particular attention is paid to the fourth generation - dynamic stochastic general equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095108
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008665677
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008665678
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012085446
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005414932
Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models have become a widely used tool for policymakers. This paper modifies the global identification theory used for structural vector autoregressions, and applies it to DSGE models. We use this theory to check whether a DSGE model structure allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008489268
This paper is written by authors from technical and economic fields, motivated to find a common language and views on the problem of the optimal use of information in model estimation. The center of our interest is the natural condition of control -- a common assumption in the Bayesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009321107