We evaluate the potential for family cap policies to reduce the number of out-of-wedlock births to AFDC recipients. These policies, already enacted in a few states, eliminate the incremental benefits entitled to AFDC recipients who have additional children. In our analysis, we use the special...

In tax year 1988, delaying filing income tax returns cost the 73.2 million taxpayers claiming refunds nearly one billion dollars of interest. "Impatient" tax filers, who mail in their tax payments before the filing deadline, passed up $46 million in interest. We develop a model of tax filing...

Research on integrative modeling has gained considerable attention in recent years and expert opinion has been increasingly recognized as an important data source and modeling contributor. However, little research has systematically compared and evaluated expert elicitation methods in terms of...