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This paper provides empirical evidence on the long- and short-run relationships between real house and stock prices of South Africa. Standard linear tests may not detect the existence of long- and short-run relationships between time series especially in the presence of structural shifts or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009401049
This paper analyzes the so-called “ripple” effect of house prices in five major metropolitan areas of South Africa, namely, Cape Town, Durban Unicity, Greater Johannesburg, Port Elizabeth/Uitenhage and Pretoria, based on available quarterly data covering the period of 1966:Q1 to 2010:Q1....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008835331
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010462732
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412719
South Africa's electricity consumption has increased sharply since the early 1990s. Here we conduct a sectoral decomposition analysis of the electricity consumption for the period 1993 to 2006, to determine the main drivers of this increase. The results show that the increase was due mainly to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854383
Improving a country’s electricity efficiency is considered one of the important ways to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions and to meet its commitments concerning climate change mitigation. In this paper, we conduct a comparative analysis between South Africa and OECD members’ total and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855513
Evidence in favour of the monetary model of exchange rate determination for the South African Rand is at best mixed. A co-integrating relationship between the nominal exchange rate and fundamentals forms the basis of the monetary model. With the econometric literature suggesting that it is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009370795
In this paper, we test for the structural stability of both bivariate and multivariate predictive regression models for equity premium in South Africa over the period of 1990:01 to 2010:12, based on 23 financial and macroeconomic variables. We employ a wide range of methodologies, namely, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652009
This paper provides an empirical analysis of the role of house prices in determining the dynamic behaviour of consumption in South Africa using a panel vector autoregression (PVAR) approach to provincial level panel data covering the period of 1996 to 2010. With the shocks being identified using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654183
This paper investigates the existence of significant spillovers from the housing sector onto the wider economy for the seven major OECD countries using Uhlig's (2005) agnostic identification procedure. This method allows identifying a housing demand shock in a six-variable VAR model by imposing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323420