Showing 1 - 10 of 405
We assess the forecast ability of Norges Bank's regional survey for inflation, GDP growth and the unemployment rate in Norway. We propose several factor models based on regional and sectoral information given by the survey. The analysis identifies which information extracted from the ten sectors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143769
We propose to construct factor models based on disaggregate survey data to forecast national aggregate macroeconomic variables. We apply our methodology to Norges Bank's regional survey, which allows to construct regional and sectoral factor models, and to the Swedish Business Tendency survey,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109339
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010243640
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008937608
We assess the forecast ability of Norges Bank's regional survey for inflation, GDP growth and the unemployment rate in Norway. We propose several factor models based on regional and sectoral information given by the survey. The analysis identifies which information extracted from the ten sectors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093425
This memo documents the structure and use of weights for observations from the regional network. With effect from round 3/09, observations from the network have been weighted using a new set of weights that better capture variations in size between sectors and regions and over time. The national...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003957143
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721837
We employ a structural VAR model to investigate direct and indirect effects of oil price changes on the Norwegian effective exchange rate (I44). The model is estimated on different subsamples and with different model specifications. Our main finding is that the direct effect of oil price shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012144118
I revisit Norges Bank's Behavioural Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) models for the Norwegian effective exchange rate first introduced in Flatner et al. (2010) and extend the model framework in several directions. Two medium-term BEER models are estimated using both short- and long-term interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012144130