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In financial markets, the order flow, defined as the process assuming value one for buy market orders and minus one for sell market orders, displays a very slowly decaying autocorrelation function. Since orders impact prices, reconciling the persistence of the order flow with market efficiency...
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This note is commenting on Hasbrouck (2018). The paper investigates the problem of price discovery on markets with trades recorded at sub-millisecond frequencies. The application of the popular information share measure of Hasbrouck (1995) to such data faces several difficulties, as the...
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Instabilities in the price dynamics of a large number of financial assets are a clear sign of systemic events. By investigating a set of 20 high cap stocks traded at the Italian Stock Exchange, we find that there is a large number of high frequency cojumps. We show that the dynamics of these...
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We propose a methodology for filtering, smoothing and assessing parameter and filtering uncertainty in misspecified score-driven models. Our technique is based on a general representation of the well-known Kalman filter and smoother recursions for linear Gaussian models in terms of the score of...
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We propose a novel approach to sentiment data filtering for a portfolio of assets. In our framework, a dynamic factor model drives the evolution of the observed sentiment and allows to identify two distinct components: a long-term component, modeled as a random walk, and a short-term component...
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Motivated by the evidence that real-world networks evolve in time and may exhibit non-stationary features, we propose an extension of the Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs) accommodating the time variation of network parameters. Within the ERGM framework, a network realization is sampled...
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