A threefold analysis of commodity prices is carried out to observe their long-run behaviour, their short-run properties and the main determinants. According to the evidence, the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis does not seem to be a property of most prices. The cycles of commodity prices are...

This work analyzes the relationship between real interest rates and commodity prices. According to Frankel’s hypothesis (1986-2006): "low real interest rates lead to high real commodity prices". However, some empirical evidence suggests that commodity prices can predict monetary policy. In...

En relación con los síntomas que probablemente tendrá la actividad económica en el futuro, un aumento en el spread de tasas de interés reduce la probabilidad de tener momentos difíciles mas adelante. Este resultado se cumple para un período 12 y 24 meses adelante y se ajusta al modelo...

A threefold analysis of commodity prices is carried out to observe their long-runbehaviour, their short-run properties and the main determinants. According to theevidence, the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis does not seem to be a property of mostprices. The cycles of commodity prices are asymmetric...

This work analyzes the relationship between real interest rates and commodity prices. According to Frankel´s hypothesis (1986-2006): low real interest rates lead to high real commodity prices". However, some empirical evidence suggests that commodity prices can predict monetary policy. In this...