The existence of non-linear dynamics in the prices of financial commodities is an endemic feature and one of the most fundamental stylized facts in the literature. This study, conditioning on weather shocks, investigates the nature of the existing predictive power between natural gas spot and...

Accepting non-linearities as an endemic feature of financial data, this paper re-examines Cochrane"s "new fact in finance" hypothesis (Cochrane, Economic Perspectives-FRB of Chicago 23, 36–58, 1999). By implementing two methods, frequently encountered in digital signal processing analysis,...

The objective of this paper is to contribute to the understanding of the linear and non-linear causal linkages between total energy consumption and economic activity, making use of annual time series of Greece for the period 1960-2008. Two are the salient features of our study: first, the total...

This paper contributes to the understanding of the non-linear causal linkage between investors' sentiment dynamics and stock returns for the US economy. Employing the sentiment index developed by Baker and Wurgler (J. Econ. Perspect. 16: 129-151, 2007) and within a non-linear causality...

This paper develops a method for the estimation of the rate of capacity utilization based on standard growth theory and the Structural VAR estimating technique. The measures of capacity utilization we derive for the US and Canadian economies are compared with widely-used survey measures. We show...