Showing 1 - 10 of 71,495
as semiparametric time series models are evaluated in terms of fitting and ex ante forecasting. The overall impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296439
This paper examines the effects of financial crises on the long memory volatility dependency of daily exchange returns focusing on the Asian crisis in 97-98 and the Global crisis in 08-09. By using the daily KRW-USD and JPY-USD exchange rates which have different trading regions and volumes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568197
Error at several forecasting horizons. This result holds true even when comparing the survey to a more competitive benchmark …: survey-based forecasts outperform a “pure luck” benchmark at several forecasting horizons. Differing from the traditional “no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015262273
valuable in conditional forecasting, since the specification that employs actual values on the uncertain information performs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004984754
findings suggest that GETS specifications perform comparatively well in both ex post and ex ante forecasting as long as … post in 1 step forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196629
In this paper, we study the effectiveness of FX interventions in Chile since adopting a fully flexible exchange rate regime in the late 1990s. In particular, we ask whether these interventions have dumped excess exchange rate volatility and reduced its probability of being in a high volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382911
The aim of this paper is to investigate the exchange rate consequences of oil-price fluctuations and to test for the dynamics of oil price volatility by examining interactions between oil market and exchange rate in selected MENA countries (Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897569
Purpose – Reserve Options Mechanism (ROM) is a new policy tool of Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT). In this study, it is aimed to examine the effect of the ROM on USD/TL exchange rate volatility. Design/methodology/approach – The effects of the ROM and the direct foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011593647
volatility clustering among selected WAMZ countries for the period 1980-2016. The univariate symmetric and asymmetric ARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012295359
Very recently, the link between exchange rate volatility and trade flows has entered into a new direction in which researchers assess the possibility of asymmetric response of trade flows to a measure of exchange rate uncertainty. We add to this literature by estimating a linear and a nonlinear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309080