The authors evaluate the out-of-sample forecasting performance of six competing models at horizons of up to three quarters ahead in a pseudo-real time setup. All the models use information in monthly indicators released ahead of quarterly GDP. The authors estimate two models – averaged vector...

This paper aims to analyze the cost factors that influence the export of the Czech Republic, and to estimate models suitable for quantitative analysis of export and its prediction. According to the macroeconomic theory, the fundamental export factors include foreign demand, domestic and foreign...

While sudden shocks are easily noticed, there are also less staggering changes that spread over decades but have fundamental economic impacts. We focus on modeling such a long-term and wide-ranging structural change envisaged for the Saudi economy in an innovative way. We apply the input-output...