Die Wahl des richtigen Wechselkursregimes hängt für Volkswirtschaften im Transformationsprozess von einer Reihe von Faktoren ab. Hierzu zählen die Liberalisierung der Handels- und Kapitalströme, reforminduzierte inflationäre Tendenzen, die Restrukturierung von Produktion und Export, die...

The populations of Central and Eastern European (CESEE) countries-with the exception of Turkey-are expected to decrease significantly over the next 30 years, driven by low or negative net birth rates and outward migration. These changes will have significant implications for growth, living...

We explore the properties of welfare-maximizing monetary policy in a medium-scale DSGE model for Hungary. In order to make our results operational from a policymaker’s perspective, we approximate the optimal policy rule with a set of simple rules reacting only to observable variables. Our...

In this study we examine the impact on Hungary of a possible correction of global imbalances. We distinguished four different channels of the global adjustment process, which are widely referred to in the literature (fiscal tightening in the U.S.; housing price correction in the US; an increase...

Using an estimated DSGE model for Hungary, the paper identifies the possible non-Keynesian channels through which a fiscal consolidation may manifest as expansionary. Simulations show that fiscal consolidation policies are typically contractionary. Nevertheless, taking into account some specific...