In this paper we are testing for contagion caused by the Thai baht collapse of July 1997. In line with earlier work, shift-contagion is defined as a structural change within the international propagation mechanisms of financial shocks. We adopt Bai and Perrons (1998) structural break approach in...

We propose bootstrap methods to approximate the distributions of test statistics for multiple structural breaks. The major advantage of these methods is that they allow freeing us from the constraints imposed by the asymptotic theory on parameters of the model. We also find that the asymptotic...

This note proves analytically and shows by a Monte Carlo analysis the spuriousness that arises by some model selection criteria when selecting the number of breaks in stationary AR(p) process without changes for a regression with mean-shifts. This brings a theoretical support to the Perron's...