This paper studies macroeconomic forecasting and variable selection using a folded-concave penalized regression with a very large number of predictors. The penalized regression approach leads to sparse estimates of the regression coefficients, and is applicable even if the dimensionality of the...

This paper proposes a new stationarity test based on the KPSS test with less size distortion. We extend the boundary rule proposed by Sul, Phillips and Choi (2005) to the autoregressive spectral density estimator and parametrically estimate the long-run variance. We also derive the finite sample...

This paper examines the finite sample properties of estimators for approximate factor models when N is small via simulation study. Although the "rule-of-thumb" for factor models does not support using approximate factor models when N is small, we find that the principal component analysis...

This paper examines the finite sample properties of estimators for approximate factor models when N is small via simulation study. Although the “rule-of-thumb” for factor models does not support using approximate factor models when N is small, we find that the principal component analysis...