In this paper, we analyze the nature of long-run exchange rate pass-through in a panel of 24 developing countries. We define and estimate an exchange rate pass-through equation based on micro-foundations of pricing behaviour by exporters firms. We adopt a multi-country framework and we use...

We define and estimate an exchange rate pass-through equation for 24 developing countries. We find that long run exchange rate pass-through into import price is determined by a combination of nominal effective exchange rate, the price of the competing domestic product, the exporter's cost and...

We define and estimate an exchange rate pass-through equation for 24 developing countries. We find that long run exchange rate pass-through into import price is determined by a combination of nominal effective exchange rate, the price of the competing domestic product, the exporter's cost and...

Governments and central banks need to have an accurate and timely assessment of Gross Domestic Product's (GDP) growth rate for the current quarter, as this is essential for providing a reliable and early analysis of the current economic situation. This paper presents a series of models conceived...

This paper evaluates different models for the short-term forecasting of real GDP growth in ten selected European countries and the euro area as a whole. Purely quarterly models are compared with models designed to exploit early releases of monthly indicators for the nowcast and forecast of...

This paper presents a revised version of the model OPTIM, proposed by Irac and Sédillot (2002), used at the Banque de France in order to predict French GDP quarterly growth rate, for the current and next quarters. The model is designed to be used on a monthly basis by integrating monthly...

This paper compares the GDP forecasting performance of alternative factor models based on monthly time series for the French economy. These models are based on static and dynamic principal components. The dynamic principal components are obtained using time and frequency domain methods. The...

In order to assess transmission mechanisms between global and domestic house prices, and possibly contagion effects, we use a large database of macroeconomic variables for OECD countries. We extract common factors to summarize the comovements of the variables and include them in stationary FAVAR...

This paper investigates the exchange rate pass-through in 12 developing countries during the period 1980-2001 by adopting a new formulation. Rather than considering the traditional approach based on the exogenous exchange rate movement through correlation between exchange rate and prices, we...