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How self-organized networks develop, mature and degenerate is a key question for sociotechnical, cyberphysical and biological systems with potential applications from tackling violent extremism through to neurological diseases. So far, it has proved impossible to measure the continuous-time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014120965
We are able to unify various disparate claims and results in the literature, that stand in the way of a unified description and understanding of human conflict. First, we provide a reconciliation of the numerically different power-law exponent values for fatality distributions across entire wars...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859950
It is still unknown whether there is some deep structure to modern wars and terrorist campaigns that could allow reliable prediction of future patterns of violent events. Recent war research focuses on size distributions of violent events, with size defined by the number of people killed in each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928042
Society's drive toward ever faster socio-technical systems, means that there is an urgent need to understand the threat from 'black swan' extreme events that might emerge. On 6 May 2010, it took just five minutes for a spontaneous mix of human and machine interactions in the global trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009492889
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001724996
I present a unified discussion of several recently published results concerning the escalation, timing and severity of violent events in human conflicts and global terrorism, and set them in the wider context of real-world and cyber-based collective violence and illicit activity. I point out how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037204
Rare but potentially catastrophic real-world phenomena such as stock market crashes, are often referred to as rare or extreme ‘events' on the assumption that they have a well-defined change (e.g. price-change) in some macroscopically measurable quantity (e.g. stock price) occurring at a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106720
Society's drive toward ever faster socio-technical systems, means that there is an urgent need to understand the threat from ‘black swan' extreme events that might emerge. On 6 May 2010, it took just five minutes for a spontaneous mix of human and machine interactions in the global trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110821
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003467258
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003388089