Showing 1 - 10 of 22
Climate change and the transition to a low-carbon economy affect the Norwegian and global economy in many ways. To gain greater insight into how these changes affect the Norwegian economy, Norges Bank has asked a selection of Norwegian enterprises on three occasions in recent years how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551649
We use narrative monetary policy shocks and local projections to estimate the impact of monetary policy on consumption and investment. We use granular data to investigate how the response varies across consumption categories, investment types, and sectors. Our findings indicate that both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015211732
In this paper we describe the newly developed System for Model Analysis in Real Time (SMART) used for forecasting and model analysis in Norges Bank. While the long-term goal is to include all empirical models used in forecasting in Norges Bank, the emphasis in this paper will be on the empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247702
This paper presents a framework for quantifying uncertainty around point forecasts for GDP, inflation and house prices in Norway. The framework combines quantile regressions using a broad set of uncertainty indicators with a skewed t-distribution, allowing for time-variation and asymmetry in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014313751
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010443062
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011708423
This paper presents a framework for quantifying uncertainty around point forecasts for GDP, inflation and house prices in Norway. The framework combines quantile regressions using a broad set of uncertainty indicators with a skewed t-distribution, allowing for time-variation and asymmetry in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551740
In this paper we describe the newly developed System for Model Analysis in Real Time (SMART) used for forecasting and model analysis in Norges Bank. While the long-term goal is to include all empirical models used in forecasting in Norges Bank, the emphasis in this paper will be on the empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551749
By analyzing housing data from the period 1850 to 2019 in Norway, we find evidence of downward nominal house price rigidity. More specifically, we document that there is a marked fraction of repeat-sales housing transactions with a zero nominal price change and show that this fraction increases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551651
In this paper the effects of a changing age distribution on aggregate consumption are analysed. This is done by estimating a Norwegian consumption function which controls for age structure effects. The model is estimated on quarterly time series data from 1968(3) to 1998(4). The results show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143604