We build a novel term structure model for pricing synthetic euro area core inflation-linked swaps, a hypothetical swap contract indexed to core inflation. Our approach relies on a term structure model of traded headline inflation-linked swap rates, which we assume span core inflation. The model...

We build a novel term structure model for pricing synthetic euro area core inflation-linked swaps, a hypothetical swap contract indexed to core inflation. Our approach relies on a term structure model of traded headline inflation-linked swap rates, which we assume span core inflation. The model...

We build a novel term structure model for pricing synthetic euro area core inflation-linked swaps, a hypothetical swap contract indexed to core inflation. Our approach relies on a term structure model of traded headline inflation-linked swap rates, which we assume span core inflation. The model...

Nominal interest rates fell to record-low levels globally in the decades prior to the pandemic. Five economies, Denmark, the euro area, Switzerland, Sweden and Japan, stand out by having adopted negative interest rate policies (NIRP). In this paper, we document that these economies have high...

The ratio of pension assets to GDP in Denmark is the highest among OECD countries. Danish pension funds invest more than half of the country's pension wealth in foreign assets, giving rise to exchange rate risks that are managed using financial instruments. We study the currency hedging...

In the years leading up to the pandemic, the yield spread between Danish and German sovereign bonds was roughly zero across maturities. In March 2020, the spreads widened and have stayed positive since. This memo investigates the drivers of the 10-year yield spread, which has widened 25 basis...

I propose a new term structure model for euro area real and nominal interest rates which explicitly incorporates a time-varying lower bound for nominal interest rates. Results suggest that the lower bound is of importance in structural analyses implying time-varying impulse responses of yield...

I propose a new term structure model for euro area real and nominal interest rates which explicitly incorporates a time-varying lower bound for nominal interest rates. Results suggest that the lower bound is of importance in structural analyses implying time-varying impulse responses of yield...

I link constant-gain learning expectations of inflation and consumption growth to the long-run variation in the level and slope of the U.S. Treasury yield curve, respectively. The variation in yields that is orthogonal to the consumption-based equilibrium factors has a two-factor structure with...