Showing 1 - 10 of 166
We introduce ambiguity about the variance of the risky asset's return in the model of Chacko and Viceira (2005) for dynamic consumption and portfolio choice with stochastic variance. We find that, with investors being able to update their portfolio continuously (as a function of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008457955
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010411142
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009408960
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012189237
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012081996
In this paper, we show, using the consumer's budget constraint, that the residuals of the trend relationship among consumption, aggregate wealth, and labour income should predict both stock returns and housing returns. We use quarterly data for a panel of 31 emerging economies and find that,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014176822
In this paper we use a representative consumer model to analyse the equilibrium relation between the transitory deviations from the common trend among consumption, aggregate wealth, and labour income, cay, and focus on the implications for both stock returns and housing returns. The evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014176823
With a new quarterly dataset we estimate a Bayesian Structural Autoregression model and a Fully Simultaneous System approach to analyze the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy. Results show that positive government spending shocks, in general, have a negative effect on real GDP; lead to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014183061
We use a new approach to assess long-term fiscal developments. By analyzing the time-varying behaviour of the two components of government spending and revenue - responsiveness and persistence - a feature not captured by automatic stabilisers, we are able to infer about the sources of fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014183065
We estimate changes in fiscal policy regimes in Portugal with a Markov Switching regression of fiscal policy rules for the period 1978-2007, using a new dataset of fiscal quarterly series. We find evidence of a deficit bias, while repeated reversals of taxes making the budget procyclical....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014202433