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This paper investigates the increasing exposure of European households to risky financial assets and the consequent impact on the economy. I analyze household data for Italy and the United Kingdom, countries that differ dramatically in their financial structure and capital markets. I estimate an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599313
A batch size model developed for the therapeutic product problem has been instrumental in assisting the staff of a large general hospital to resolve problems associated with the transactional process of the preparation of intravenous medications for administration. The model is a variation of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014791024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011818417
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This study proposes a data-based algorithm to select a subset of indicators from a large data set with a focus on forecasting recessions. The algorithm selects leading indicators of recessions based on the forecast encompassing principle and combines the forecasts. An application to U.S. data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369447
used in previous studies. In addition, the level at which it leads to a high probability of default is comparable across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768797
Since 1999, the IMF's staff has been tracking several early-warning-system (EWS) models of currency crisis. The results … have been mixed. One of the long-horizon models has performed well relative to pure guesswork and to available non … long-horizon EWS model. The two short-horizon private sector models generally performed poorly. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768990
cycle are adversely shocked by one standard deviation, the conditional probability of a SBA nearly doubles, implying an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604884
LCFIs' equity) to credit risk (the default probability of the CDS basket) in a coherent manner. In addition, to analyze the … latent multifactor structure. The results unveil a rich set of default probability dynamics and help in identifying the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826610
This paper presents a modeling framework that delivers joint forecasts of indicators of systemic real risk and systemic financial risk, as well as stress-tests of these indicators as impulse responses to structural shocks identified by standard macroeconomic and banking theory. This framework is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519509