Energy demand is mainly a function of own price, price of substitute energies, the activity level of sectors, cost of materials and labor and capital, cost-share of energy, elasticity of substitution parameters and households income. The main purpose of this paper is to measure the changes in...

This paper provides a method to forecast day-ahead electricity prices based on autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (GARCH) models. In the competitive power market environment, electricity price forecasting is an essential...

This study has been investigated price regimes of two prime index in the world oil market(Brent and WTI) based on weekly data over the period 2003/1/3-2007/5/25 (before financial crisis) and 2009/3/6-2012/12/14(after financial crisis) by using marko regime switching model whit dynamic...

This paper evaluates dynamic correlation between growth of Industry and Mine sector and crude oil price in Iran over the period of 1367:1 to 1389:4, with emphasis on the origin of oil price shocks. We apply Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) model to estimate dynamic correlation. Our results...

Benefits of investment in the electricity industry can transmit to other activities through several channels. This is mainly through “the price channel” in free markets and “the capital return channel” in fixed-price regulated markets. In this study, we apply a comparative static...

English Abstract: In this chapter, we review different energy sources that are used and implemented in Iran’s electricity market. Specifically, we focus on the renewable energy sources that are in place in the country, e.g. hydropower, wind, and solar. We review the technology and the...

The purpose of this study is to discuss and show how a general equilibrium analysis can be used to decompose demand elasticity. We apply this framework into the electricity market. To do so, we use a general equilibrium model, assuming Iran as a small and open economy. In this model, we separate...

This paper measures the distributional and welfare impacts of cutting commodity subsidy and paying cash subsidy. We introduce an extended Input-Output model employing a non-linear programming approach. The model is calibrated based on 2004 Iranian Micro Consistent Matrix with 56 commodity...

Efficiency improvement in electricity uses leads to a decrease in its demand and consequently a decline in the market price of electricity. It is expected that the induced increase in electricity demand due to this price effect offsets part of the primary reduction in consumption, a phenomenon...

The purpose of this paper is to study the “disinvestment effect” of a counterfactual economy-wide electricity efficiency improvement in Iran. The Researchers apply a computable general equilibrium model with special assumptions about given electricity price, heterogeneous labor market, wage...