This study compares the predictive performance of the conditional forecasting technique against the unconditional … and pessimistic. Two main results can be draw from our simulations : (i) the conditional forecasting approach is generally … conditional forecast technique. These results therefore call on the central bank to adopt the conditional forecasting technique in …

indicators help improve upon the simple Autoregressive (AR) model for forecasting HICP core inflation as well total inflation, if …

MASCOTTE is the new version of the Banque de France's macro-econometric forecasting model. Following the last rebasing …

The forecasting literature has identified three important and broad issues: the predictive content is unstable over … forecasting variables before use. We thus cut-out the low frequency components and show, in simulations and on financial data …

forecasts. The goal of this study is to provide an academic paper for the universities in the analysis of forecasting. We … process of fight against dollarization. By comparing both method we retained Holt and Winters because the error of forecasting … (difference between realization and forecasting) of the method of Holt and Winters is very minimal. …