In this paper, we propose a usual strategy in order to estimate the impact of a free trade area agreement between EU and Mediterranean Partner Countries (MPC's). In this frame, a dynamized Input-Output model is developed, obtaining the main economic impacts in each MPC country (employment, Value...

Mesange is a quarterly macro-econometric model of the French economy. This model has been developed and is used jointly by INSEE and the French Treasury. This working paper presents the new version of the model. The data used in the re-estimation process are those of the National Accounts base...

Mesange is a medium-size quarterly macro-econometric model of the French economy (about 500 equations, three sectors). The model describes short-term Keynesian dynamics and its long-term equilibrium is driven by supply-side determinants. Its reestimation on data from the national accounts base...

This study is devoted to the analysis of the main effects, on the Belgian economy, of various forms of tax shifting aimed at increasing taxes on energy and decreasing other taxes(mainly taxes on labour). Results show that, if the increase in energy taxes is combined with a reduction of taxes on...

A partir de un modelo de cointegración se intenta establecer una relación de causalidad entre la tasa de referencia (subasta de expansión), la tasa interbancaria y la tasa de interés de los CDT´s a 90 días (con frecuencia diaria). La estimación se realiza a través de modelos GARCH y sus...

Les méthodes de l'économétrie spatiale visent à traiter les deux grandes particularités des données spatiales : l'autocorrélation spatiale qui se réfère à l'absence d'indépendance entre observations géographiques et l'hétérogénéité spatiale qui est liée à la différenciation...

Les méthodes de l'économétrie spatiale visent à traiter les deux grandes particularités des données spatiales : l'autocorrélation spatiale qui se réfère à l'absence d'indépendance entre observations géographiques et l'hétérogénéité spatiale qui est liée à la différenciation...

Cet article expose la problématique de la volatilité des prix des matières premières, montre quels sont les moyens pour s’en protéger et explique comment les employer. Les instruments de couverture sont présentés en première section, en distinguant le type de besoin auquel ils...

This article describes the application to an operational medium-size econometric model, mini-DMS, of methods associating, to deterministic forecasts, a measure of the uncertainty due to the stochastic nature of behavioural equations. After having described the theoretical and practical...

This paper presents a revised version of the model OPTIM, proposed by Irac and Sédillot (2002), used at the Banque de France in order to predict French GDP quarterly growth rate, for the current and next quarters. The model is designed to be used on a monthly basis by integrating monthly...