La littérature sur l'instabilité macroéconomique couvre un champ extrêmement vaste qui se révèle par le spectre très large de mesures utilisées pour appréhender ce phénomène. Le choix de la mesure de l'instabilité macroéconomique apparait généralement peu discuté sous le...

In this paper, we estimate and analyse a set of equations of French inflation for forecasting purpose at the horizon of three months, six months and one year. A different equation is associated to each horizon. This approach has the advantage of modeling directly the variable of interest at the...

Short-term analysts use many tools to forecast economic activity. Among these tools, estimating and, then, simulating univariate models is very common. Most of the time the series used for the variable of interest as well as for the regressors are last available releases. Except for the latter...

This work aims at analysing the dynamics of macroeconomic fluctuations in Cameroon, using a semi-structural VAR to determine the sources of its macroeconomic fluctuations. The results obtained point out that the macroeconomic fluctuations in Cameroon, even though influenced by external shocks,...

In this paper, we study the dynamic propagation of the output and the existence of a significant n nominal component in the Solow residual using a DGE model. Nominal wage rigidity and labor retention are introduced as internal propagation mechanisms. The economy is disrupted by technological,...

In this paper, we study real wage fluctuations in response to monetary shocks. We estimate five different models corresponding to five sets of monetary policy restrictions. Monetary shocks are measured by innovations in the nominal interest rate, total reserves and non-borrowed reserves. Our...

In this paper, we study the dynamic propagation of the output and the existence of a significant n nominal component in the Solow residual using a DGE model. Nominal wage rigidity and labor retention are introduced as internal propagation mechanisms. The economy is disrupted by technological,...

This work aims to analyse the dynamics of macroeconomic fluctuations in Cameroon and to determine the resulting business and growth cycles turning point chronology. The construction of a reference turning point chronology poses some problems related to the choice of the methods to be used. In...

This paper brings a new lighting on the synchronization of the business cycles in the WAEMU countries. The study applies the concept of dynamic correlation to the analysis of the activity co-movement of the union. The results show the low level of synchronization of the business cycles, which...

This paper brings a new lighting on the synchronization of the business cycles in the WAEMU countries. The study applies the concept of dynamic correlation to the analysis of the activity co-movement of the union. The results show the low level of synchronization of the business cycles, which...