Avec un budget cumulé de 59 milliards d'euros en 2007, un volume d'emploi de plus d'un million d'emploi en équivalent temps plein, 14 millions de bénévoles, les associations (dont le nombre dépasse le million) ont un poids considérable dans l'économie française. Par ailleurs, elles ont...

Regroupées sous le label de « nouvelle gestion publique », de nombreuses réformes des administrations publiques sont expérimentées depuis une trentaine d'années dans les pays de l'OCDE et ailleurs. Ces réformes se traduisent par la mise en œuvre d'instruments de gestion et sont...

The aim of this paper is to propose a realistic and operational model to quantify the systematic risk of mortality included in an engagement of retirement. The model presented is built on the basis of model of Lee-Carter. The stochastic prospective tables thus built make it possible to project...

Continuous time stochastic processes are useful models especially for financial and insurance purposes. The numerical simulation of such models is dependant of the time discrete discretization, of the parametric estimation and of the choice of a random number generator. The aim of this paper is...

The aim of this paper is to propose an operational two-dimensional parametric adjustment for laws of maintenance in disability. The method suggested rests on splines in dimension 2; it is applied to a real data set, and the scale of reserving which results from it is compared with the scale of...

The aim of this paper is to study the construction of prospective mortality tables from a low number of persons subjected to risk. The presented models are the Lee-Carter and log-Poisson methods respectively. The low number of people subjected to risk, particularly noticed for the persons who...

The aim of this paper is to propose a realistic and operational model to quantify the systematic risk of mortality included in an engagement of retirement. The model presented is built on the basis of model of Lee-Carter. The stochastic prospective tables thus built make it possible to project...