This article aims at estimating leading indicators of the American economy with financial variables. We use two types of hidden Markov chains models, a quantitative one (Krolzig (1997)) and a qualitative one (Gregoir and Lenglart (2000)). These models provide a robust and reliable framework to...

We use a French firm-level panel data set over the period 1993-2004 to analyze the relationship between credit constraints and firms' R&D behavior over the business cycle. Our main results can be summarized as follows: (i) the share of R&D investment over total investment is countercyclical...

This paper assesses consequences of foreign aid reduction on WAEMU economies and the various adjustment mechanisms that must be implemented internally to support this situation. Indeed, using a computable dynamic recursive general equilibrium model of Décaluwé et al., (2013) calibrated on each...

This paper anticipates the impacts of program based budgeting on senegalese economy. According to the PEFA evaluation, Senegal is eligible to implement such reform. Results from an Intertemporal dynamic CGE model show an overall positive impact of the reform on the senegalese economy....

This study proposes a new simplified technique for moving from the static to the dynamic framework of computable general equilibrium (CGE) models. Emphasis is placed on dealing with convergence that can be constant or variable. We show that in variable coefficient convergence, the definition of...