Showing 1 - 10 of 130
The 2000-2001 Turkish crisis has often been analysed in the literature without a solid econometric basis. This article presents a linear regression model as well as a logit model that enable us to measure the extent to which economic fundamentals and banking variables can account for the outcome...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015223664
La littérature sur l'instabilité macroéconomique couvre un champ extrêmement vaste qui se révèle par le spectre très large de mesures utilisées pour appréhender ce phénomène. Le choix de la mesure de l'instabilité macroéconomique apparait généralement peu discuté sous le...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014000796
This paper proposes new bridge equations for the Monthly Index of Business Activity (MIBA) published by the Banque de France. The MIBA is a forecasting tool for the quarterly GDP growth in France both for the current quarter and the next quarter, originally based on the surveys in the industrial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998824
L'objectif de ce travail consiste à faire ressortir, à côté de la saisonnalité (en partie due au climat), certains indicateurs économiques susceptibles d'expliquer la demande adressée à l'industrie touristique tunisienne: le prix, le revenu et l'offre. Ces différents indicateurs sont...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005595841
In this paper, the author describes reduced-form linear and non-linear econometric models developed to forecast and analyze quarterly data on output growth in the Canadian manufacturing sector from 1981 to 2003. Empirical evidence reported in the paper suggests that economic activity in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162516
L’ISMA est un des principaux outils de diagnostic conjoncturel de la Banque de France. Publié chaque mois, il estime la croissance du PIB français pour le prochain trimestre, en se basant sur les données d’enquêtes de la Banque de France.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009201078
Short-term analysts use many tools to forecast economic activity. Among these tools, estimating and, then, simulating univariate models is very common. Most of the time the series used for the variable of interest as well as for the regressors are last available releases. Except for the latter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008466036
This conference provides an opportunity to examine how regulators collaborate with each other in the UK and compare this with the experiences of our European neighbours. This paper discusses: • the relationship between competition and regulation, as well as the way regulators use their powers;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015262225
This article analyzes the technical and organizational dynamics on which the strategies of the European aircraft manufacturer are founded. The point of view developed is that refocusing on architect-integrator activities, increasing modular decomposition of the process of building airplanes and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005379190
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005636006