In this paper, we consider a theoritical model helping to provide a new insights into the functioning of moroccan labor market. The model examines the impact of imperfect competition among firms with access to specific technologies on the emergence of the new modern economy.The The emergence of...

Effet d’imitation (Easterlin, 1995), chances d’accès (Montmarquette & al., 2000 ; Demeulemeester & Rochat, 2001) ou encore prestige social (Demeulemeester & Diebolt, 2008), sont souvent évoqués afin d’expliquer les stratégies individuelles et les conséquences parfois contradictoires...

Cet article propose une analyse des rendements éducatifs issue du modèle de Mincer (1974). Dans le cas de Madagascar où plus de 50% des élèves étaient scolarisés dans une école privée en 1997, le type d’éducation reçue (publique ou privée) est pris en compte, tandis que les biais...

The main purpose of this paper is to determine the macro-prudential indicators of financial strength that can be used under supervision of the banking system in CEMAC. More specifically, we start from a set of indicators listed in the literature on macro-prudential supervision, and identify...

In this study, we identifie a small number of indicators of macro-prudential supervision important to monitoring of the banking’s system. We use the theory of Markov stochastic processes to measure the systemic risk of CEMAC by calculating the degree of fragility of system and we determine the...

This aim of this study is to estimate the price of coffee and cocoa using a methodology based on Hodrick-Prescott filter, Kalman filter and a Markov Switching Model which, unlike linear models, allows the parameters to vary depending on the economic situation, the transitions between regimes are...

This paper deals with statistics�and econometrics�properties of fractionally integra- ted GARCH (FIGARCH). We compare these characteristics with those of traditional models. We insist on the GARCH exponential/IGARCH in�nite decrease of volatility impact. Then, we apply it on three Tunisian...

We study the processes of real convergence (per-capita GDP, period 1950-2005) and of nominal convergence (inflation rate, period 1973-2005) for a sample of MENA countries. Using the methods of dynamic analysis based on transition matrices (Markov processes) and stochastic kernels, we show that...

We study the relationships between the real effective exchange rate (REER) of the Tunisian dinar and its determinants/fundamentals, i.e. the ratio of trade balance/GDP, the ratio of public consumption/GDP, the openness rate and the terms of trade. We find that in the most of cases, the variables...

The main aim of this paper is to examine the qualities of the mixed diffusion-jump process whose parameters are random variables. The hypothesis of a Wiener geometric process applied to exchange rate has become doubtful at the beginning of the nineties, fact determined by a high leptokurtosis of...