Using Consensus Forecasts monthly surveys, we show that experts' interest rate expectations in the Eurofranc market do not verify the rational expectations hypothesis. Instead, these expectations are found to be generated by a mixed process combining the traditional adaptive, regressive and...

Les anticipations de taux d'intérêt révélées par les enquêtes de Consensus Forecasts auprès d'experts sur le marché de l'Eurofranc ne vérifient pas l'hypothèse de rationalité. Elles résultent d'un processus mixte fondé sur une complémentarité entre les modèles anticipatifs...

According to the quantitative theory of money, an expansion of the money supply leads both to a decrease of interest rates and an increase of the general level of good prices. This negative correlation expected between these two variables being contradicted by the positive correlation observed...

From a macroeconomic perspective, this paper aims to represent the dynamics of the unemployment rate and of the variations of wages in France over the period of 1950-2008. On a theoretical level, the unemployment equation distinguishes a chronic factor characterized by an excess of real wages...