Les ménages français ont, comme leurs homologues européens, réduit leur effort d’épargne au bénéfice de leur consommation. Leurs choix de placements se sont orientés vers les produits bancaires liquides au détriment de l’assurance-vie.

La crise mondiale et celle, plus récente, dans la zone euro ont eu tendance à raccourcir l’horizon prévisionnel et décisionnel de nombreux agents économiques. Dans le même temps, les incertitudes (sur l’emploi, les retraites…) poussent plutôt à la remontée du taux d’épargne des...

We use a French firm-level panel data set over the period 1993-2004 to analyze the relationship between credit constraints and firms' R&D behavior over the business cycle. Our main results can be summarized as follows: (i) the share of R&D investment over total investment is countercyclical...

This article aims at estimating leading indicators of the American economy with financial variables. We use two types of hidden Markov chains models, a quantitative one (Krolzig (1997)) and a qualitative one (Gregoir and Lenglart (2000)). These models provide a robust and reliable framework to...

This paper aims at finding appropriate policies to help maintain long run growth performances in Senegal. Usual shocks faced by the economy include that the economy rain shortfalls, oil and food prices and food, and raw materials prices. The economy is submitted to those adverse conditions using...

This paper aims at finding appropriate policies to help maintain long run growth performances in Senegal. Usual shocks suffered by the economy include rain shortfalls, surges in oil, food and raw materials prices. The economy is submitted to those adverse conditions using a multisector DSGE....

This paper aims at finding appropriate policies to help maintain long run growth performances in Senegal. Usual shocks suffered by the economy include rain shortfalls, surges in oil, food and raw materials prices. The economy is submitted to those adverse conditions using a multisector DSGE....

This paper studies the nonlinear dependences in daily returns of 40 French stocks and two indices, the Vontobel-Datastream index and the official French index CAC40. These returns are studied during a period of twenty-four years beginning January 1, 1975. The rescaled range analysis of Hurst and...

This article has two objectives: to study the 1997 episode of hyperinflation in Bulgaria and to compare and contrast this analysis with the post-Keynesian theoretical approach. This approach highlights the role of three components observed simultaneously in order to understand the emergence of...

Nous présentons la thèse de Feldstein-Horioka (F-H) sur la mobilité du capital et les développements qu’elle a suscités. Il s’agit d’une thèse qui est très ouverte à la possibilité de réfutation et dont l’histoire illustre bien la pensée méthodologique nonnaïve de Karl...