This paper shows that the Fed reacts to change in spreads between corporate bond yields and government bond yields over and beyond their information content on future inflation and future activity. This result, obtained in a GMM framework, is confirmed by simulation methods. Moreover, when...

Most studies about the geographical location of a phenomenon or a population first aggregate data according to administrative boundaries which are generally not related to the issue. When the population under study is rare, and when the sample is not exhaustive, these aggregation choices often...

This report presents and proposes several methods to improve the capacity of generalization of the learning algorithms in a context of financial decision-making. These methods, overall, aim at controlling the capacity of the learning algorithms in order to limit the problem of the over-training,...