Kaldor présente l’analyse qu’il fait de la répartition comme une théorie keynésienne. Son travail s’inspire, nous dit-il, des contributions de Keynes, dans le Traité de la Monnaie, et de Kalecki. Cependant, alors que Keynes et Kalecki développent des analyses de courte période,...

The assumption we submit, because macroeconomic forcasts would be unperfect, is that behavioral equations doesn't enough describe economic behaviours through the capacity of reaction opposite to environment. Further, the forcaster belongs to his search-system, so that, may be, we must now...

Summary: The European Union absorbs nearly 75% of Tunisian exports and represents about 50% of Tunisian imports, which explains the important weight of the euro in the Tunisian dinar anchor basket. Thus, the purpose of this article is to predict short-term exchange rate fluctuations EUR/TND,...

In this paper, we study the asymptotic distribution of a simple two-stage (Hannan-Rissanen-type) linear estimator for stationary invertible vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) models in the echelon form representation. General conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality are...

We propose methods for testing hypothesis of non-causality at various horizons, as defined in Dufour and Renault (1998, Econometrica). We study in detail the case of VAR models and we propose linear methods based on running vector autoregressions at different horizons. While the hypotheses...

This article studies the sources of growth in DRC (Belgium Congo) from 1920 and 1956, along the works of Bernardin Akitody and Matthias Cinyabuguma (2004) dedicated to the post-independence period. It assesses the relative importance of total factor productivity (TFP) and factors accumulation,...

Thomas Piketty's "Capital in the 21st century" has been the most important book economy in recent times. Its aim integrates the debate theories of growth, income distribution, inequality and differences between the extremes income and income of the majority. The work predicts a slow increase in...

The properties of WS-PS model are modified when trade activity is explicitly modelled. We introduce transaction costs on the output market to capture multiplicity whatever the degree of returns to scale. The price setting curve can become downward-sloping in the unemployment rate-real wage...

Le partage de la valeur ajoutee en France et en Allemagne a connu d'importantes inflexions durant les 30 dernieres annees qui peuvent etre reliees aux fluctuations des termes de l'echange, a la progression du chomage ou encore a l'evolution des taux d'interet. Apres avoir derive une equation de...

Il est souvent avance que l'assiette actuelle des cotisations sociales, la masse salariale, pénalise l'emploi en rencherissant le coût du seul facteur travail et en incitant en conséquence les entreprises a substituer du capital au travail. Cette etude propose une caracterisation des...