We introduce a tractable class of non-affine price processes with multifrequency stochastic volatility and jumps. The specifi cations require few fixed parameters and deliver fast option pricing. One key ingredient is a tight link between jumps and volatility regimes, as asset pricing theory...

This aim of this study is to estimate the price of coffee and cocoa using a methodology based on Hodrick-Prescott filter, Kalman filter and a Markov Switching Model which, unlike linear models, allows the parameters to vary depending on the economic situation, the transitions between regimes are...

La littérature sur l'instabilité macroéconomique couvre un champ extrêmement vaste qui se révèle par le spectre très large de mesures utilisées pour appréhender ce phénomène. Le choix de la mesure de l'instabilité macroéconomique apparait généralement peu discuté sous le...

The purpose of this paper is to study the model belongs to the family of structural equation models with data varying both across individuals (sectors) and in time. A complete theoretical analysis is developed in this work for the case of a dynamic recursive structure. Maximum likelihood...

In this paper, we consider American option contracts when the underlying asset has stochastic dividends and stochastic volatility. We provide a full discussion of the theoretical foundations of American option valuation and exercise boundaries. We show how they depend on the various sources of...

Cet article expose la problématique de la volatilité des prix des matières premières, montre quels sont les moyens pour s’en protéger et explique comment les employer. Les instruments de couverture sont présentés en première section, en distinguant le type de besoin auquel ils...

The Wishart Autoregressive (WAR) process is a multivariate process of stochastic positive definite matrices. The WAR is proposed in this paper as a dynamic model for stochastic volatility matrices. It yields simple nonlinear forecasts at any horizon and has factor representation, which separates...

French abstract: Le présent papier formalise un nouveau modèle de dynamique du système des prix du marché action, capable de saisir un large spectre de phénomènes renseignés par la littérature académique financière. Le modèle s’attache particulièrement à rendre compte de trois...

The Beta coefficient theorized by the CAPM is estimated by the Market Line. By hypothesis, the Beta is stable over time but empirical studies on it volatility don't confirm this fact. One of them is related to with agent heterogeneity hypothesis. In this paper; we study this hypothesis by...