In DRC, economic growth remains ineffectively influenced by the dynamics of multiple monetary policy factors. In view of this, an attempt is made in this article, examining the role that the quality of governance could play in the relationship between monetary policy and economic growth in this...

French abstract: Par un arrêt très attendu « Peter Gauweiler c/ Deutscher Bundestag » du 16 juin 2015 (affaire C-62/14), la Cour de justice de l'Union européenne (CJUE) a statué à titre préjudiciel sur une mesure de politique monétaire non conventionnelle menée par la Banque centrale...

This paper seeks to explore the impact of oil price shocks, real industrial production and interest rate on stock prices for six oil exporting countries and five oil importing countries using nonlinear autoregressive distributed lags (NARDL)model using monthly data for the period 1993 :...

In this paper, we use the segmented conditional ICAPM (International Capital Asset Pricing Model) to study the emerging stock markets integration. To address this issue, we apply the asymmetric multivariate version of GARCH-BEKK with structural break of the variance. It allows to specify the...

Stock exchange industry consolidation is at work since many years and has recently accelerated through competition for order flows, agreements and mergers. However, consolidation may not mean that all shocks are transmitted to every place. Therefore, following Forbes and Rigobon (2002) we...

This working paper presents a new coincident economic indicator developed by the COE, able to detect in real time peaks and troughs of the american business cycle. This probabilistic indicator is based on the Markov-Switching model proposed by Hamilton (1989), applied to various economic time...

This paper focuses on the synchronization of supply and demand shocks in West Africa given the willingness of ECOWAS Heads of State to create a single currency by 2020. Based on the methodology of Blanchard and Quah (1989), the paper relies on structural autoregressive vector models (SVAR) to...

The Central Bank of Congo (BCC) lowered policy rate in response to uncertainty surrounding COVID-19. The impact of the pandemic on the economy is uncertain and depends on several factors. This cut in the policy rate would not help the economy to limit the fallout from COVID-19, so we should...

The author describes results obtained by using a new methodology to estimate potential output for the United Kingdom. The estimation method, which follows Rennison (2003) and Gosselin and Lalonde (2002), shows that combining the use of a Hodrick-Prescott filter and a structural vector...

This paper proposes two new coincident probabilistic cyclical indicators developed by the Bank of France in order to follow, on a monthly basis, the French economic activity. The first one is an indicator which aims at detecting the turning points of the acceleration cycle while the second one...