This report presents leading indicators of real gdp-growth for the United States, Japan and 7 EU member countries. These indicators make use of business cycle indicators developed at the Bank, together with information contained in financial and monetary variables like the yieldcurve, the money...

This Master thesis investigates the semi-parametric estimation method Maximum Score of Manski (1988) that can be used to estimate binary choice models. This method only asumes that the median of the disturbances of the econometric model takes the value zero. We compare Maximum Score with the...