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In the nineties, the number of currency crises has been high, both in the industrial world and among emerging countries. An important characteristic of many of these crises is that they started in one country but very soon affected others as well. Currency crises seemed to be contagious. In this...
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evaluates several popular exchange rate theories and presents new results of a model developed at de Nederlandsche Bank. This … depreciation of the euro only partly. Sentiment seems to be important as well. …
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In the empirical literature, not much support is found for the uncovered interest parity. Especially with free floating exchange rates, the forward rate is a biased predictor of the future exchange rate. This phenomenon can both be explained by an absence of rational expectations or by risk...
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