This paper applies the dynamic linear model (DLM) estimated based on the Bayesian approach to project electricity consumption for five Brazilian regional units. The appeal for the use of DLM in the case of energy consumption is due to the fact that in this model the adjustment occurs in the unit...

This paper applies the dynamic linear model (DLM) estimated based on the Bayesian approach to project electricity consumption for five Brazilian regional units. The appeal for the use of DLM in the case of energy consumption is due to the fact that in this model the adjustment occurs in the unit...

In this Discussion Paper, we test forecasting models for inflation and economic activity with macroeconomic data and economic surveys between January 2002 and October 2019 on a monthly basis. Due to the high dimension nature of the set of explanatory variables, we use machine learning (ML)...

Este artigo tem como objetivo a realização dos testes de hipóteses de convergênciaabsoluta, condicional e sigma convergência, das taxas de crescimento per capita daagropecuária dos Estados brasileiros, ao longo do período de 1980 a 2004. Esses modelosforam testados contemplando a...