Após a abertura comercial em 1998, grandes mudanças ocorreram no comércio exteriornacional devido sucessivos choques cambiais aos quais a economia foi exposta. A literaturade referência sugere que grandes choques na taxa de câmbio induzem mudanças persistentesna relação entre a taxa de...

One of the main objectives of the Bretton Woods negotiations was to guarantee the firm control over competitive exchange rate devaluations, which had worsened the effects of the economic crisis of the 1930s. The par value exchange rate system was thus created, representing a link between the...

This paper evaluates the strategy of growth cum foreign savings adopted by many emerging countries, and its consequences. Bresser-Pereira and Nakano (2003) points out that there is in emerging countries a high rate of substitution of foreign and domestic savings during the process of influx of...

This paper analyzes the evolution of the share of imported intermediate goods in the production process and its influence on the share of manufacturing in value added for the Brazilian economy, covering the period span 1995-2008. In a first step, we estimate input-output matrices, at constant...

This article summarizes the studies about the Phillips curve in the Brazilian economy. Overall, the results are very sensitive to the time period, to the proxies adopted, to the econometric approach, and to the frequency and lags allowed to the variables. These results cast some doubts about the...

Ao longo do período 2000/2007 o setor externo do agronegócio brasileiro encontrou uma conjuntura altamente favorável para o aumento de suas exportações, pois se combinou uma situação de forte expansão da economia mundial com elevação dos preços internacionais de commodities. No...

Although the improvement accomplished in the external accounts and the Brazilian economic growth in recent years, it would be incorrect to conclude that the external restriction is not important to determine the economic growth rate in longer periods of time. The maintenance of the Brazilian...

Since the middle of the 80s, Brazil is facing a process of industry participation loss as a percentage in GDP and in the economy total employment. This phenomenon can be characterized as a deindustrialization process. Some elements such as increase in produtitivity, statistical illusion, and...