In this Discussion Paper, we test forecasting models for inflation and economic activity with macroeconomic data and economic surveys between January 2002 and October 2019 on a monthly basis. Due to the high dimension nature of the set of explanatory variables, we use machine learning (ML)...

The Ministry of Health's Mortality Information System (SIM) is one of the main sources of information for measuring violent deaths and, in particular, homicides in Brazil. However, between 1996 and 2021, there were 294,752 violent deaths in which the cause was not defined (or 8,7% of the...

The Ministry of Health's Mortality Information System (SIM) is one of the main sources of information for measuring violent deaths and, in particular, homicides in Brazil. However, between 1996 and 2021, there were 294,752 violent deaths in which the cause was not defined (or 8,7% of the...

In this Discussion Paper, we test forecasting models for inflation and economic activity with macroeconomic data and economic surveys between January 2002 and October 2019 on a monthly basis. Due to the high dimension nature of the set of explanatory variables, we use machine learning (ML)...

This paper analyzes the personnel expenditures in the Brazilian federal civil public service using administrative records from the Executive Branch. There are two contributions which are noteworthy because they may improve the understanding of policy makers regarding the evolution of those...

The international financial crises of the 1990s rose doubts on the usefulness of sovereign ratings. The present paper has two aims: identify whether sovereign ratings can be predicted using a small set of macroeconomic fundamentals; and test whether sovereign spreads can be predicted by...

Spanish Abstract: Indonesia ha sido tradicionalmente uno de los centros globales de abastecimiento de commodities, al punto que la búsqueda de una ruta alternativa a ella desencadena el descubrimiento de América. A pesar de su tradicional importancia, esta y muchas otras facetas suyas se...

This paper analyzes the personnel expenditures in the Brazilian federal civil public service using administrative records from the Executive Branch. There are two contributions which are noteworthy because they may improve the understanding of policy makers regarding the evolution of those...

The goal of this paper is to identity the sectors with the greatest potential to contribute to reducing electricity consumption. To this end, we apply the analysis consumption multiplier and the structural decomposition on the hybrid Input-Output Matrix between which combines data from the...